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DHT: 10

09 Aug 2025 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.2%
Krylya Sovetov
31.2%
Draw
56.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad

Expected Goals (xG)

0.48

Krylya Sovetov

vs
1.32

Baltika Kaliningrad

Markets

BTTS29.3%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.510.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.5%
0-0
17.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
0-4
2.1%
2-0
1.9%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).