Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Pau FC
20.8%
Draw
26.6%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Pau FC
vs
1.27
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).