Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Cambridge
20.1%
Draw
43.9%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Cambridge
vs
2.11
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS74.5%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).