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DHT: 11CSV

19 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Charleroi
25.7%
Draw
33.3%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Charleroi

vs
1.39

Genk

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).