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AHT: 01CSV

24 Feb 2019

Betis

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Valladolid
16.8%
Draw
72.1%
Betis

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Valladolid

vs
2.45

Betis

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
2-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).