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25 Apr 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Puszcza Niepołomice
24.5%
Draw
49.6%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Puszcza Niepołomice

vs
1.85

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).