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DHT: 01

25 Oct 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.9%
Sampdoria
29.2%
Draw
46.9%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Sampdoria

vs
1.44

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).