Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Walsall
25.0%
Draw
39.5%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Walsall
vs
1.37
Swindon
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).