Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Gillingham
24.1%
Draw
44.8%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Gillingham
vs
1.44
Oxford
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).