Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Tamworth
23.3%
Draw
23.0%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Tamworth
vs
1.25
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).