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AHT: 13CSV

16 May 2021 · 20:00

Lyon

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.2%
Nimes
21.7%
Draw
58.1%
Lyon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Nimes

vs
1.88

Lyon

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.7%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
3.2%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).