Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Oxford
23.6%
Draw
38.1%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Oxford
vs
1.37
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).