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26 Oct 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.4%
Strømsgodset
25.8%
Draw
41.8%
Fredrikstad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Strømsgodset

vs
1.42

Fredrikstad

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).