Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Luton
32.4%
Draw
30.3%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Luton
vs
0.95
Oxford
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).