Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Celta
22.5%
Draw
14.8%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Celta
vs
0.79
Leganes
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).