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AHT: 10CSV

11 Jan 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.8%
King’s Lynn
17.4%
Draw
73.8%
Notts County

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

King’s Lynn

vs
2.40

Notts County

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.6%
0-3
10.1%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
6.1%
0-0
5.0%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-5
2.9%
2-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).