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DHT: 01CSV

11 May 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
Yeni Malatyaspor
28.4%
Draw
49.2%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
1.81

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.5%
1-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).