Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Middlesbrough
27.8%
Draw
34.8%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Middlesbrough
vs
1.31
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).