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11 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.3%
Stockport
22.3%
Draw
21.4%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Stockport

vs
0.92

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).