Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Alaves
32.6%
Draw
16.1%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Alaves
vs
0.48
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS25.5%
Over 0.579.8%
Over 1.547.1%
Over 2.521.5%
Over 3.57.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.7%
0-0
20.2%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
0-2
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
2-2
1.5%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).