Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Dunfermline
26.4%
Draw
18.8%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Dunfermline
vs
0.99
Alloa
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.3%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).