Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Gillingham
25.0%
Draw
43.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Gillingham
vs
1.44
Swindon
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).