Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Sampdoria
30.1%
Draw
46.5%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Sampdoria
vs
1.37
Palermo
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).