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26 Apr 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.0%
Sheffield United
26.2%
Draw
18.8%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Sheffield United

vs
0.88

West Brom

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).