Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Magdeburg
26.2%
Draw
41.9%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Magdeburg
vs
1.62
Hertha
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).