Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Palermo
19.0%
Draw
11.2%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Palermo
vs
0.86
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).