Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Orenburg
25.3%
Draw
50.2%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Orenburg
vs
1.84
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).