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AHT: 01CSV

26 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.0%
Ebbsfleet
21.7%
Draw
66.3%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Ebbsfleet

vs
2.00

Bromley

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.9%
0-1
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).