Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Lecce
28.9%
Draw
42.7%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Lecce
vs
1.20
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).