Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.6%
Dover Athletic
13.0%
Draw
81.4%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Dover Athletic
vs
2.83
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.2%
0-3
11.5%
0-1
8.2%
0-4
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
5.4%
0-5
4.6%
0-0
3.5%
1-5
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).