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DHT: 01CSV

24 Aug 2024 · 19:30

Lamia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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90.0%
AEK
8.1%
Draw
1.8%
Lamia

Expected Goals (xG)

3.16

AEK

vs
0.37

Lamia

Markets

BTTS29.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
15.5%
2-0
14.7%
4-0
12.2%
1-0
9.0%
5-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
1-1
3.7%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
2.8%
3-2
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).