Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Altrincham
24.2%
Draw
21.6%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Altrincham
vs
1.13
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).