Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Kilmarnock
24.8%
Draw
35.3%
Dundee United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Kilmarnock
vs
1.51
Dundee United
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).