Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Ipswich
19.1%
Draw
68.0%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Ipswich
vs
2.50
Man United
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
7.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.9%
0-4
4.7%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).