Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Sunderland
33.5%
Draw
25.6%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Sunderland
vs
0.80
Stoke
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.557.0%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).