Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Lincoln
20.8%
Draw
17.8%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Lincoln
vs
0.84
Hull
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).