Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Torino
27.5%
Draw
42.8%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Torino
vs
1.29
Lazio
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).