Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Leganes
21.5%
Draw
63.5%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Leganes
vs
1.99
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).