Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Dender
26.7%
Draw
31.0%
Beerschot VA
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Dender
vs
1.25
Beerschot VA
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).