Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Monza
24.2%
Draw
17.2%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Monza
vs
0.93
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).