Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Sp Gijon
22.2%
Draw
41.5%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Sp Gijon
vs
1.79
Santander
Markets
BTTS67.6%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).