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AHT: 11CSV

21 Aug 2021 · 18:00

Rodez

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Valenciennes
23.5%
Draw
53.1%
Rodez

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Valenciennes

vs
1.56

Rodez

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).