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AHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2019

Eibar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Valencia
29.2%
Draw
28.1%
Eibar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Valencia

vs
0.98

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Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).