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DHT: 12CSV

07 Mar 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.5%
Galatasaray
12.3%
Draw
3.2%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

3.07

Galatasaray

vs
0.60

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.3%
2-0
12.0%
4-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
1-1
5.9%
5-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
3.5%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).