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06 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.4%
FC Koln
27.0%
Draw
14.7%
Atherton Laburnum Rovers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

FC Koln

vs
0.54

Atherton Laburnum Rovers

Markets

BTTS30.9%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.0%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.6%
0-0
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
0-2
2.1%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).