Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Espanol
21.5%
Draw
13.3%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Espanol
vs
0.69
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).