Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Santander
25.0%
Draw
34.0%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Santander
vs
1.32
Elche
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).