Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Boreham Wood
24.5%
Draw
10.2%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Boreham Wood
vs
0.42
Welling United
Markets
BTTS26.4%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.2%
2-0
16.7%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-2
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).