Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Bristol City
28.7%
Draw
26.8%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Bristol City
vs
1.03
Preston
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).