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19 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.0%
Aris
15.0%
Draw
7.0%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

2.25

Aris

vs
0.50

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.2%
1-0
14.8%
3-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).